Friday, August 29, 2008

10 reasons to await camp's opening

A little food for thought heading into the Labor Day weekend. By the time you get back to work and ship the kids off to school on Tuesday, the college football season will be in full swing, the countdown to kickoff of the NFL season will be on and – get this – it will be a mere four weeks until Pistons training camp opens. Here are 10 reasons that should get your heart racing a little bit:

1. Rodney Stuckey. By the time the Boston season was wrapping up, didn’t you get the feeling he was as critical to the Pistons’ success as anybody? There were moments against the Celtics when he was the Pistons’ best player, including in that sizzling Game 5 on the road when Stuckey spearheaded a comeback from 17 down. Remember that 3-pointer he hit with just over a minute left to make it a one-point game? The Celtics got a break on the ensuing possession when the Pistons played defense too well for their own good – they almost forced a turnover, but the ball went out of bounds to set up a Boston inbounds play that saved the Celts from having to jack up a desperation heave to beat the shot clock, and then Ray Allen got free off the inbounds pass to sink a long jump. If it hadn’t been for that shot, the Pistons – who had Boston players running from the basketball, they were so tensed up – probably win that game and come back to The Palace with a chance to clinch in Game 6. Stuckey would have been the hero. I think there are going to lots of nights this season when he is.


2. Amir Johnson. In essence, last season was his rookie year. He played a total of 163 minutes in his first two seasons – less than four NBA games – before cracking Flip Saunders’ rotation midway through his third year. Until Theo Ratliff came on board, Johnson was having a significant impact on games. Remember the night he had eight points, nine boards and seven blocks against Indiana? In addition to his unique knack for picking up garbage and finishing, his equally unique ability to block shots with both hands and his dazzling speed that makes him the rare big man who’s a threat to score in transition, Johnson wowed Michael Curry and his staff in Las Vegas with his ability to be a disruptive defensive force by harassing guards down the court and jumping out to throw off the rhythm of pick-and-roll plays. I’d look for Johnson to somehow get a consistent 20 minutes a night this year, even in a frontcourt crowded by …

3. Kwame Brown. Think about this. Nothing was expected of Johnson when the Pistons drafted him No. 56 in 2005 right out of high school. If Brown had been allowed that luxury – minimal expectations coming out of high school – instead of being the No. 1 pick in the 2001 draft, selected by no less than Michael Jordan, he wouldn’t have been already declared a bust by the point in his career that Johnson now finds himself. Forget that Kwame Brown was the No. 1 pick. The Pistons just picked up a 26-year-old 7-footer who is, at least, a capable rebounder and defender. The things I’m hearing about Brown, who has been in Auburn Hills for most of August working out with some of his young teammates, are nothing but good for his attitude. As he said when he signed with the Pistons, this is the first time he’s ever gotten to choose his NBA home and he’s responding positively to the environment. At worst, he’s the most potent No. 5 big man of any NBA team’s rotation. At best, the Pistons just picked up – at a relative bargain, and with nothing that ties up their cap flexibility – a long-term answer in the middle.

4. Michael Curry. Joe Dumars nailed it when I talked to him for the three-part Q&A we posted on Pistons.com within the last week – Curry has a presence. I was struck by that in Las Vegas, when he ran the Pistons’ Summer League team. Curry’s practices were studies in organization and efficiency. From afar, the concerns you see expressed about Curry – only a few years removed from his playing career, one year as an assistant coach only – are legitimate. But they evaporate when you spend five minutes observing him and then absorb his resume. To rise from NBA journeyman to president of the players association – a job previously held by the likes of Bob Lanier and Isiah Thomas and Patrick Ewing; superstars, in other words – speaks volumes about the respect Curry commands and engenders. I’m anxious to see what effect it has on the makeup of this team. And I thought the way he delegated work to his assistants in Vegas was telling – at various points in the practice, he’d bark out one of their names and have them run the next drill. That’s not something you’d necessarily expect of a first-time head coach, many of whom tend to try to run everything to prove themselves.

5. Will Bynum. Interesting guy. Joe D said they wanted a different look with the No. 3 point guard – and whether Lindsey Hunter comes back for another year or not, Bynum is expected to be the No. 3 point guard with Hunter more of a niche player, probably inactive again most nights. Stuckey and Chauncey Billups are both big, physical guards, while Bynum is a classic waterbug. Talking to him in Vegas, it was clear how dearly he valued the opportunity to crack an NBA roster. This guy remains something of a playground legend in Chicago, which – sorry, New York – has churned out much better point guards over the past few decades than the Big Apple. Yet he’s earnest about making the transition from a score-first mentality to concentrating on becoming a defensive nuisance who can run an offense.

6. The offense. Yes, Stuckey will have a larger role, and that’s going to give the Pistons something of a different feel. He’s a slasher who will get to the rim more frequently – and, more critically, more efficiently – than he did as a rookie, when he was just learning how and when to pick his spots. But maybe the more significant driving force in changing the offense will be Curry’s constant message, emphasizing the need to get inside, either through dribble penetration – Stuckey’s strong suit – or posting up. Curry has said he wants more of a post presence from Rasheed Wallace. Jason Maxiell emerged as a scoring threat last season, developing a few signature moves. Look for Curry to probe the possibilities Brown offers. Johnson showed in Vegas enough ballhandling skill to exploit a devastating first step. Curry wants more inside baskets, more free-throw attempts and more second-chance points.

7. The new staff. This is a high-energy group Curry has assembled. Darrell Walker brings a little attitude with him. He was part of the best college defensive backcourt I’ve ever seen at Arkansas, paired with Alvin Robertson, and retains that in-your-face toughness. Pat Sullivan is a junkie who’ll stay in the gym teaching as long as Arron Afflalo will stay there working on his jumper or handle. Harold Ellis has been wowing people around the building with his zeal and is thrilled to be working with Curry and for an elite organization. And holdover Dave Cowens … well, anyone who can remember his NBA playing career knows he’s a fighter of the first order. Forget that calm demeanor you see on the sidelines. Cowens was to his era what Bill Laimbeer was to his as a competitor.

8. The veterans. They went into the summer a little unsettled, for certain, after Joe D put them on notice that they were all available in trade. But as the weeks started flying off the summer calendar and nothing happened, it became pretty clear to all of them that their boss wasn’t ready to throw in his chips on this era unless somebody was willing to give him an equally high stack in return. They’ve all made it known that they’re excited about playing for Michael Curry, which, Dumars said, he finds encouraging because they all know that Curry isn’t going to let them cut corners. It’ll be interesting to see how the relationship builds from training camp on out.

9. Walter Sharpe. The most realistic notion to carry into the season where Sharpe is concerned is to expect nothing. It’s entirely possible Sharpe’s first season is spent much like Johnson’s first two – a few stints in the D-League breaking up practice time with the Pistons and many nights watching in street clothes from the second row. But it will be intriguing to see how quickly Sharpe progresses. He’s played so little competitive basketball over the past four years and has to make the difficult transition from college post player to NBA wing, but if you watch this guy work out by himself you can see the talent bubbling not too far below the surface. Not only will practice be important for Sharpe, but the time spent before and after practice will be critical, too. Best advice for Sharpe: Attach yourself to Arron Afflalo.

10. The starting lineup. When Joe D told me last week that it wasn’t etched in stone that Rasheed Wallace and Antonio McDyess would be the starters up front, and that Curry had some thoughts about things, it led me to believe that they’re seriously considering putting McDyess back on the bench. And that makes sense, on a number of levels. I thought moving McDyess into the starting lineup last season worked as well as they could have hoped. He handled 30 minutes a night with no ill effects and grew comfortable as a starter. But when he went back to the bench in the playoffs after breaking his nose, he adapted seamlessly again. And when you look at the average age of the starting five – 33 by the time the season starts, with McDyess and Wallace about to turn 35 – and the average age of the bench (23 if you count the players most likely to play: Stuckey, Afflalo, Johnson, Maxiell and Brown), then it makes sense to mix it up, reduce the stress on McDyess and get another scorer on the second unit. I think all three of the other big men – Brown, Johnson and Maxiell – could get looks in the preseason with Wallace. But somebody has to trot out there first when Curry holds the first practice of training camp. Can’t wait to see who that’ll be.


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Wednesday, August 27, 2008

The (big and) bad side of bad contracts

A few weeks back I suggested that when it comes to making the kind of blockbuster deal many Pistons fans eagerly anticipated over the summer, it helps to have a bad contract or two on the books to balance out a trade with a team looking to slash payroll or stash a disgruntled veteran elsewhere.

That’s how the Los Angeles Lakers were able to pick up Pau Gasol on the cheap last February. Kwame Brown’s bloated contract was about to come off the books, which was the most critical component of the return package from Memphis’ perspective. Throw in a couple of future No. 1 picks and a potentially decent young player, Javarris Crittenton, and … voila!

The only thing close to a bad contract the Pistons had on their roster going into last season was Nazr Mohammed’s deal. But for all the grief Mohammed took in his brief Pistons career and all the heat Dumars took for signing him to a full mid-level deal in the summer of 2006, how bad could that contract really have been? With almost 3¾ seasons still left on the contract, Dumars found a taker in Charlotte – meaning the Bobcats will pick up nearly 80 percent of the worth of the original five-year deal, which escalates in value each season.

And all he took back were two expiring contracts. When the best deals of the 2007-08 season are compiled and analyzed, Boston’s heist of Minnesota for Kevin Garnett will be No. 1 and the Lakers’ swindling of Memphis for Gasol will be No. 2. But you can bet that an honest polling of Joe Dumars’ peers would result in the unloading of Mohammed’s contract while taking zero in obligations beyond the 2008 season drawing heavy consideration for No. 3.

Which is a roundabout way of saying that while it’s occasionally nice to have a bad contract on the books, no GM worth his salt would ever turn down the chance to be rid of one and all of them.

While Pistons fans were pulling their hair out this summer as free agency opened and the names most often linked to them as solutions to their apparent void at backup small forward – Mickael Pietrus, James Jones, James Posey, C.J. Miles – were signed on contracts elsewhere, Dumars waited it out and avoided the sort of desperation signing that would have come back to haunt him later.

Case in point:

The Lakers lost a valuable piece of their rotation this summer when Golden State, flush with cap space after Baron Davis stunned the Warriors by opting out and bolting to the Clippers, signed Ronny Turiaf to a four-year, $17 million deal. It would be the equivalent of the Pistons losing Jason Maxiell for nothing.

The reason the Lakers couldn’t afford to match? Well, the company line was that with Andrew Bynum returning from injury and Gasol on board in addition to Lamar Odom, it wasn’t prudent to pay that much for a No. 4 big man. But the presence of at least two bad contracts on the books – the almost $20 million Vladimir Radmanovic has coming over the next three years and the almost $27 million Luke Walton has coming over the next five and maybe even the $2.5 million Chris Mihm is due this season – cut the legs out from under Mitch Kupchak.

If any one of them wasn’t on the books for next season, it would have been easy to retain Turiaf. If any two of them weren’t in play, the Lakers could have retained Turiaf and made use of their mid-level exception to sign a rotation piece – and coming off of an NBA Finals appearance, and given the glamour and marketing potential of the Lakers, agents and players would have lined up to offer slightly below-market rates.

Pistons fans were clamoring for Dumars to jump in and land Posey, who undeniably helped the Celtics get past every round of the playoffs, hitting a handful of memorable 3-point shots at critical junctures along the way. But in the interests of perspective, Posey averaged 6.7 points in 22 minutes a game during the playoffs and 88 of his 119 shot attempts – nearly three out of every four shots – was a 3-pointer. He’s a good defender, though not a Bruce Bowen-level type, and he does nothing offensively except launch triples. He’s 31 and a career 42 percent shooter.

That’s what $25 million over four years bought the New Orleans Hornets. And you could argue that the Hornets – and this isn’t to rip on them, because GM Jeff Bower gets generally high marks – wouldn’t have been tempted to go after Posey if they hadn’t overpaid last year and given Mo Peterson essentially the same deal they gave Posey this summer.

Because they have both of those players at inflationary rates – and because they took Mike James’ bloated contract (two more years at nearly $14 million) off of Houston’s hands at the trade deadline – New Orleans couldn’t afford to keep Jannero Pargo, who left to play in Europe. By season’s end, Pargo was playing alongside Chris Paul, ahead of Peterson and miles ahead of James, in all the important moments for New Orleans.

Jones wound up getting a five-year, $23 million deal from Miami to play behind Shawn Marion at small forward – or maybe behind Dwyane Wade at shooting guard. Only the first two years are guaranteed, at $8.5 million, but it still has the potential to hamstring Miami’s efforts to build a frontcourt. The Heat, tapped out, have been trying to coax players like D.J. Mbenga and Jamaal Magloire into taking minimum-wage deals.

Dumars could have entered the bidding for those players and snared one of them to be Prince’s caddy. But as he looked at his roster and his payroll, he didn’t get close to tempted. Prince is good for 32 to 36 minutes a night. Let’s be extravagant, take the low end and even assign six of his minutes a night to playing power forward – something Dumars told me last week they’ve discussed, at least against the right matchups.

That would leave 22 minutes on some nights – and significantly less on others – to carve up at small forward among the backup candidates. I’ve written about how I fully expect Rip Hamilton to get regular minutes there this season, partly because he proved he could defend even elite threes last season – remember when Hamilton, on a bad hip that had sidelined him for the previous three games and would hold him out of the following five, held LeBron James to 13 points last March? – and partly to accommodate the certainty that Rodney Stuckey is going to play a far greater role this season.

So let’s pencil in Hamilton for 10 minutes a game at small forward. In our extreme scenario, we need to find 12 more minutes at that position. The Pistons have three possibilities:


  • Arron Afflalo. Michael Curry and Dumars could not be more emphatic in their praise for Afflalo and their expectation that he’ll command a greater role this year than last. His Summer League demeanor projected a more confident and self-assured player this year than last, when he already seemed an unusually poised rookie. Afflalo averaged 13 minutes a game as a rookie. It’s not unreasonable to assume he’ll get 18 this year. Let’s guess that 12 of those will be at shooting guard and six at small forward. We need to find six more minutes a night – and that’s if Prince is playing only 32 and spending some of them away from his natural position.


  • Walter Herrmann is 29, was a key player on Argentina’s national team for years and, as an NBA rookie in 2006-07, stepped into Charlotte’s starting lineup over the final quarter of the season and dazzled. In being named NBA Rookie of the Month for March of that season, Herrmann as a starter averaged 18.7 points and 6.0 rebounds while shooting 62 percent – gaudy numbers. The Pistons were hesitant to reduce Jarvis Hayes’ role last season after picking up Herrmann in the Mohammed deal in December, but when they gave him a chance to play he showed in flashes an unorthodox effectiveness. If other NBA teams’ biggest worry was getting by for the six minutes a night they had to use Walter Herrmann, they should all be so lucky.


  • And, finally, there’s Walter Sharpe. He’s raw and he’s probably not ready to play meaningful minutes now, but he’s talented enough that it isn’t outlandish to believe he could hold his own with backup small forwards for three- or four-minute stretches.


There are other possibilities, too. The Pistons have five quality big men – six if you include the tantalizingly long Cheikh Samb. If the opposing small forward is Jamario Moon or Rashard Lewis or Thaddeus Young, Amir Johnson can slide over from power forward and handle that assignment if the Pistons want to go big. If Lindsey Hunter returns and the Pistons want to go small, Hunter and Billups in the backcourt and Stuckey at small forward – who wouldn’t want to see Jason Kapono or Wally Szczerbiak trying to check Stuckey? – would buy minutes, as well.

Against that laundry list of possibilities, Joe Dumars stuck his $4 million a year in his pocket – or his $5 million or $6 million – and decided he wasn’t playing that hand. He’ll have all his chips in play when they get to a hand where the payoff is a little more enticing.


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Monday, August 25, 2008

A look ahead to London

So … who’s going to be in London to defend Team USA’s Olympic gold medal in basketball?

Much can change between now and then, of course, but you can bet that Jerry Colangelo, who all but officially committed to staying on as chief executive of USA Basketball through the 2012 games after Sunday’s gold medal win over Spain, is already thinking about what his 12-man roster will look like for London.

Let’s assume that the five members of Team USA who will be 30 or over by the time the London Games roll around won’t be up to giving another three-year commitment. That would take Jason Kidd, Kobe Bryant, Michael Redd, Tayshaun Prince and Carlos Boozer out of play. Boozer will just be turning 30 and might be inclined to give it another go, but he got very limited playing time and could just as easily decide the one gold medal he has is enough.

As for the other seven players, you’d have to think that if they’re healthy they’ll probably want to give it another go. That would leave Team USA with a core of Chris Bosh and Dwight Howard up front; LeBron James, Carmelo Anthony and Dwyane Wade on the wings; and Chris Paul and Deron Williams in the backcourt – all in all, a pretty nice core of players who should all be in the prime of their careers. Bosh will be 28, Howard 26, James 28, Anthony 28, Wade 30, Paul 27 and Williams 28 in London.

That leaves five spots to fill.

Rodney Stuckey looks as likely as anyone to fill Kidd’s backcourt spot. Colangelo and Mike Krzyzewski put a premium on strong, physical guards in picking this year’s team after an undersized Team USA backcourt got overpowered in the 2006 World Championships. Stuckey, who’ll be 26 in London, has the size, strength and quickness that will help Team USA continue to employ the type of aggressive, smothering defense it played in Beijing. His offense figures to be on another plane by then, too, as he showed this summer that he’s already adding range and consistency to his jump shot.

Maybe the safest bet to join Team USA is wing scorer Kevin Durant, who won’t turn 24 until September 2012. Durant’s size and outside shooting touch give him the versatility that’s coveted in international play. If Durant continues to progress as a shooter, in fact, he might eliminate the need for Colangelo to include a specialist to replace Redd, who made the team as a zone buster.

O.J. Mayo, coming off an impressive showing in the Las Vegas Summer League, was added to the Select Team that scrimmaged Team USA prior to its departure for China. He has the size, offensive skill set and – based on his play in Las Vegas, at least – the aptitude and willingness to play solid team defense, attractive qualities in putting together an Olympic team. If Wade, who has been beset by injuries the past two seasons, decides to opt out, Mayo would be a nice replacement.

There are several possibilities up front to fill Boozer’s potential void. The most obvious is Greg Oden. The jury is still out on him as an NBA force, but Oden’s sheer size, quickness and defensive presence give him every chance to become a dominant big man and a no-brainer pick for whatever style of play is desired.

Among the other potential big men candidates are Al Jefferson, Al Horford, LaMarcus Aldridge, Michael Beasley and Josh Smith. Other wing candidates: Jeff Green, Al Thornton, Thaddeus Young and Rudy Gay. And in the backcourt, Brandon Roy (though his early injury history might make summer commitments a stretch), Derrick Rose, Rajon Rondo and Jerryd Bayless.

I’ll throw two more Pistons onto the watch list, just for fun.

With the selection of Prince, Colangelo showed he’s keenly aware of the value of including someone who comes from an NBA team where he’s accustomed to sacrificing or sublimating his game for the greater good. If you want a darkhorse candidate to fill that role, why not Arron Afflalo? He can defend multiple positions and he’ll assume a leadership role for his work ethic and selflessness.

Up front, Amir Johnson will get the chance starting this season under Michael Curry to flash his unique skills as a defender and general wreaker of havoc. In the international game, on an American team whose strength is forcing turnovers and scoring off of them, Johnson would fill a niche role ideally.


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Friday, August 22, 2008

Joe D: No deal is likely at this point

Maybe you’ve already seen or listened to the Part I of the interview I conducted on Thursday afternoon with Joe Dumars – we’re breaking it into three parts so it’s a little easier to digest – but the most significant news to come out of it is that Dumars and Michael Curry are proceeding as if the roster they have now is what they’ll take into training camp.

“I would be very surprised if anyone called at this point to offer the type of deal I was open to and had been open to doing,” Dumars said. “I don’t expect that call. I expect us to go to war, if you will, with the guys we have on this roster we have right now, with the 14 guys we have now.”

We talked quite a bit about the tenor of the conversations Dumars has had over the summer with the veteran core. He said none of them lobbied to stay, necessarily, but all of them made it clear to him that their preference was to come back intact and give it a try under Michael Curry. Dumars isn’t surprised, but he is pleased that they’ve all expressed an eagerness to play under Curry even though they know “there’s a level of accountability. They know there’s a level of responsibility that comes with playing for him. They know there’s a level of professionalism and preparation that’s going to be in place every single day.”

That last part is a preview of Part II of the interview, where we also talk about the decision to pursue and sign Kwame Brown as a free agent. Dumars said something pretty interesting about the ideas he and Curry have batted around about how to use the first five big men on the depth chart – Brown, Rasheed Wallace, Antonio McDyess, Amir Johnson and Jason Maxiell.

In Part III we talk about the versatility of the roster now with virtually everyone under contract able to play more than one position. We also talk about the young players who took part in the Las Vegas Summer League.

One thing I’ll let you in on about Part III, simply because by the time it gets posted on Pistons.com on Tuesday, it might have changed. As I was wrapping things up, I asked about Lindsey Hunter and his decision whether or not to return for one more season.

As we were talking about that very subject, Dumars’ BlackBerry buzzed – it was Hunter’s agent, asking him to give him a call. So maybe that situation will clarify itself soon. One more freebie – if Hunter decides to call it a career, Dumars said he would probably lean toward not filling the 15th spot on the roster now, but keep it open to “see what comes down the pike.”

In the larger picture, take this away: Dumars and Curry are not at all downcast because they didn’t make a big move. In those many and lengthy conversations he’s had with his players this summer, Dumars said they’ve all conveyed the sense that they’re taking responsibility for not matching the level of intensity Boston threw at them in the conference finals.

“This has been a good summer from my perspective,” he said, “because the complacency that I’ve taken issue with, the lack of urgency that I’ve taken issue with, has been front and center in a lot of conversations I’ve had with guys and it’s straightforward, no cute language, here’s the deal.”


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Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Prince proving merit of his inclusion

With less than a minute left until halftime of Team USA’s Olympic quarterfinal game with Australia, the Aussies were within seven points. The great unknown with the Americans is how they’ll respond in the last five minutes of a close game, and through almost two full quarters the Aussies looked like they had a chance to find out.

But a USA basket and a Deron Williams 3-pointer at the halftime buzzer made it a 12-point game, and then a 14-0 run to start the third quarter turned it into another rout. In a four-minute span, Team USA outscored the Aussies 19-0. Take those four minutes away and it was a reasonably close game – exactly the kind of game the world hopes to play against the Americans, one where they make them settle for 3-point jump shots on one end and play defense for the duration of the shot clock on the other, shortening the game by minimizing the amount of possessions and limiting Team USA’s open-court possessions, where the Americans are at their athletic, explosive, lethal best.

You know who was on the floor at the end of the first half, when it was still a game, when it was about to become a blowout? Tayshaun Prince.

Just as he was on the floor in the first half of Team USA’s game with Spain, which came to Beijing as the odds-on choice to be the team that gave the Americans their stiffest challenge, when that game, too, began to be put out of reach.

“When Tayshaun Prince is on the floor,” said former Pistons coach Doug Collins, the most insightful TV analyst in the business these days, “good things happen.”

Remember a few months back, when Jerry Colangelo, Mike Krzyzewski and his staff were making the painful decisions to fill the last three or four roster spots on Team USA and the critics questioned why Prince would be there at the expense of guys like Amare Stoudemire or Tyson Chandler?

That’s why. It’s not just because Prince is so willing to sublimate his ego for the greater good – a role he’s accepted for the duration of his six years with the Pistons, all of which have culminated in playoff excursions that took them to at least the Eastern Conference finals – it’s that he plays that role so effectively. Meaning he’s able to stay in the shadows for as long as you need him to stay there, making all the nuanced plays – stepping out to cut off a drive but not overcommitting to leave his man free, say, or making the pass that sets up the pass that registers the assist – but also willing and able to step into the spotlight if that’s what’s demanded.

An interesting article appeared on Yahoo! Sports the other day, written by Adrian Wojnarowski, quoting American-born basketball coach Dan Peterson, who rose to fame during a wildly successful 14-year run while coaching in Italy. An expert of international basketball, Peterson is in Beijing doing television for EuroSport, and Wojnarowski’s article centered on Peterson’s perception that this American team, finally, gets it. They’ve taken pains to build around good people who respect their opposition and don’t care about statistics.

Listen to this from Peterson: “I’m doing the game on TV for EuroSport here and I hear someone is saying that they should’ve put Amare Stoudemire on this team instead of Tayshaun Prince. I mean, are you crazy? You want a prima donna instead of a team guy like Prince who only cares about winning? I mean, just shut up. You are out of your mind. Colangelo got it right here. We’re seeing that now.”

Colangelo and Krzyzewski have said all along that picking Prince wasn’t an anguished choice at all, for his versatility, his defensive acumen and, yes, his team-first approach. When Krzyzewski yanked Dwight Howard from one of the pool play games because Howard hadn’t properly defended the pick and roll, NBA sideline reporter Craig Sager said Krzyzewski told Prince to tell Howard what he did wrong to allow Krzyzewski to concentrate on coaching.

Prince’s name popped up in trade rumors this summer, a summer began by Joe Dumars’ public declaration that any of his starters could be had in the right trade. But Prince, as of late August, is still a Piston. And if he isn’t a Piston in another month, when they’re about to open training camp, then it will only be because Dumars found a trade that alters the mix to his liking but also returns to the Pistons many of the qualities Prince embodies, the qualities that endeared him to Colangelo and Krzyzewski, that made an old American coach steeped in international basketball salute his inclusion on the Redeem Team, that draw gushing praise from Doug Collins and other astute observers of today’s NBA.

Because if a general manager isn’t willing to part with that kind of player in return for Tayshaun Prince … well, to quote Dan Peterson, “I mean, are you crazy?”


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Monday, August 18, 2008

Sullivan: 'They all want to get better'

Michael Curry has referred to Rodney Stuckey as his “sixth starter” already this summer, so it’s not like the Pistons’ new coach is making any secret of his expectations for last spring’s playoffs breakout star.

But one of Curry’s hires as assistant coach, Pat Sullivan, reinforced the notion that Stuckey will play a critical role for the Pistons in the season ahead for his ability to create plays off the dribble and get inside the lane – an area Curry is emphasizing as he looks to make the Pistons a little less dependent on the jump shot.

“Sometimes when you have a great shooting team, you fall in love with just staying outside,” Sullivan said. “But Rodney, not only can he shoot the ball, he can get in the paint. That’s where we need to change things a little bit – get into the paint more and score more in the paint. That’s what Coach is preaching and that’s what we’re going to do more this year – get into the paint and get to the foul line.”

Sullivan didn’t get much of a chance to see Stuckey last season when he was on staff at New Jersey. The Pistons and Nets played three times, once while Stuckey was out with a broken hand. The second meeting of the season came just three games into Stuckey’s return from the injury that cost him the first 25 games of his rookie season. But when the Nets came to The Palace in early April still fighting for a playoff berth, Stuckey had 14 points and nine assists in 30 minutes of a Detroit win.

Sullivan has been nothing but impressed with Stuckey since joining Curry’s staff and working with him during the Las Vegas Summer League and since in voluntary workouts.

“Just being around him, he’s such a great kid,” Sullivan said. “He’s so willing to learn. He’s such a hard worker. He gives a different aspect to our team because he’s a very, very good pick-and-roll player. I liken him to a great running back who just sees a crack in the line and he can explode through it on a straight line. And then he loves the contact. He’s a big, strong, physical kid and he searches out contact and he can finish around the rim.”

Here’s Sullivan on some of the other young Pistons:


  • Arron Afflalo – “He’s another super kid. An extremely hard-working kid. He can shoot it. The thing that impressed me the most, I was in Vegas working out on the treadmill and he came in for 30 or 40 minutes and we were just talking. All he talked about was guarding people. I was shocked. Usually, it’s, ‘Coach, I can’t wait to get more shots or average more points.’ And all he talked about was how he wanted to defend guys. That’s a special kid and that’s why he’s here. That’s the neat thing about Arron. He really takes pride in guarding people. Either you have that in you or you don’t and he does.”


  • Amir Johnson – “I love him. He ran the floor every time (in Las Vegas). I wish he would have rebounded the ball a little better out there, numbers-wise, but he did everything we asked him to do. Coach asked him to sprint the floor and run to the rim every time, he did. We asked him to trap on the side pick and rolls, he did. We asked him to show up on high pick and rolls, he did. All the thing we asked him to do. I thought he had a great two weeks in Vegas. I’m looking forward to working more with him. He’s one of those athletic kids who is going to be able to roll to the rim and finish, especially with a guy like Rasheed spacing the floor. What are you going to do? Are you going to stop the roll or are you going to stop the three? That creates problems.”


  • Cheikh Samb – “No 1 is the ability to shoot the ball. Physically, he’s behind. That’s his biggest problem, his strength. He’s a little challenged there, but he’s another kid who loves to be in the gym. He loves to work, so he wants to get better. It’s so nice to work with these young guys because they all want to get better. They’re not afraid to come into the gym, spend time and try to get better. Cheikh does a good job of blocking shots. He’s so long. Most great shot-blockers are blocking from the weak side. Not only can he do that, but he’s so long he can get his own man’s shots, which is unique. You don’t really block your own man’s shot that often.”


  • Walter Sharpe – “Walt’s a very, very talented offensive player. The thing with him is just kind of breaking him. He played in the post in college, whereas up here he’s going to have to be more of a three man. Offensively, he’s skilled enough to do it. He shoots the ball pretty well. Defensively, he’s not used to being out on the floor. In the post, you’re just fighting your man, fronting the post, boxing your man and rebounding. We’re having him chase guys off the screens and in our league some of the most talented guys are twos and threes. It’s great that he’s up here. He’s volunteered to come up and work out. Summer League was the first step, now this is another phase. Hopefully by preseason and the time the season starts, he’ll have a good feel to know how to play the position.”


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Friday, August 15, 2008

What the 'finishing' lineup could look like

Absent the headline-grabbing trade that remains possible before the Pistons reconvene for the 2008-09 season in another six weeks, the expectation is that the starting lineup when the Indiana Pacers come to town for the Oct. 29 regular-season opener will be the familiar old hands: Chauncey Billups, Rip Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince, Rasheed Wallace and Antonio McDyess.

It’s the finishing lineup I’m waiting to see.

And for the 30 percent or so of games that come down to the final minute, my guess is that there’s a distinct possibility the finishing lineup could look like this for a significant number of those games: Chauncey Billups, Rip Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince, Rasheed Wallace (or McDyess) and … Rodney Stuckey.

Which means Tayshaun Prince slides over to power forward on occasion. I think it’s something Flip Saunders would have tried at some point last season if Stuckey hadn’t missed the first 25 games of the season, not only setting his progress back but cutting out almost one-third of the season for bold experimentation.

There will be some matchups where swinging Prince to power forward wouldn’t work, sure, but Michael Curry doesn’t strike me as a particularly cautious man. He’s going to be more proactive than reactive. Which is another way of saying that he’s more likely to wonder how opposing power forwards are going to stay with Prince rather than worry about how Prince is going to keep from being overpowered by them.

(And you can extrapolate that to any number of other possibilities: Let the other coach worry about how a bull moose of a power forward is going to keep up with an antelope like Amir Johnson instead of fearing Johnson being ground down by the other guy, etc.)

Swinging Prince to power forward proves for an intriguing lineup. Hamilton proved last year he could guard anyone from Chris Paul to LeBron James and hold his own. When the Pistons routed the Cavs in March, Hamilton held James to 13 points. If you can do that against James, all questions about your ability to guard small forwards is laid to rest.

Look at some of the power forwards in the East. Is there any reason to fear the 6-foot-9 Prince being overwhelmed by the likes of Antawn Jamison, Rashard Lewis, Josh Smith, Yi Jianlian or Charlie Villanueva? Maybe you’d want to protect him from the likes of Elton Brand or Zach Randolph, but even terrific power forwards like Chris Bosh or Kevin Garnett don’t present physically dominant mismatches for the lanky Prince, at least not over short stretches – not when the corresponding matchup on the other end takes those players out of their comfort zones. Even if Garnett and Bosh have the foot speed to stay with Prince, pulling them away from the basket to do so is a victory for the offense.

When I was talking to one of Curry’s new assistants, Pat Sullivan, about the plan to mix and match at backup small forward with players like Hamilton, Afflalo and Walter Herrmann, he brought up the possibility of those players getting minutes at that spot even when Prince was in the game.

“Tayshaun’s versatility to play as the four man presents a lot of problems to match up with, too,” he said. “Being with the Nets the last three years, the one thing Detroit poses to me that’s such a problem is the fact they have so many bigs that can shoot the ball with Rasheed, McDyess and now even (Jason) Maxiell is getting better at 15-, 18-foot jumpers.”

Sullivan went on to talk about the possibilities – using two shooters together, as the Pistons have when Wallace and McDyess are on the floor; or using Maxiell or Amir Johnson, whose strengths are rolling to the rim and finishing with their quickness and explosion. But adding Prince to the mix is fascinating.

Hamilton’s offensive game, predicated on constant movement and shrewd use of screens, would figure to be at least as problematic for small forwards as shooting guards, and probably even more so. Billups and Stuckey together in the backcourt would present another headache for the opposition. Whoever is being guarded by the lesser defender could use that to his advantage, either by capitalizing on facing less resistance to initiate the offense or by isolating whoever has the physical mismatch – and with Billups and Stuckey’s strength and size, the Pistons are almost always going to have a physical mismatch in the backcourt – to go one-on-one as a scorer.

And Prince could take his man 25 feet from the rim and then go off the dribble, either to get to the basket or to create space for a jump shot that power forwards are unaccustomed to defending.

The larger point is that in close games you’re going to want your five best players on the floor. And Rodney Stuckey’s emergence coupled with the versatility of almost every Piston to play multiple positions makes that possible.


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Thursday, August 14, 2008

Sullivan: 'I would have run to Detroit'

Pat Sullivan grew up in New Jersey and was working there, with another year on his contract as an assistant coach on Lawrence Frank’s staff with the Nets, when Joe Dumars changed coaches in June. Sullivan’s family is still nearby. One of his two brothers was really nearby – he was living with him. So you would guess that Sullivan faced a tortured decision when the Pistons offered him the chance to sign on under Michael Curry.

Not so much.

“It was really, really easy,” Sullivan told me this week. “Joe called me and started to talk and I said, ‘Joe, if this is what I think it is, would you call (Nets president) Rod Thorn and Lawrence Frank out of respect to New Jersey.’ He said, ‘You got it.’ I hung up the phone, he called them, I called him back and I said, ‘Joe, when do you want me there?’ That was it. Three phone conversations. It took no more than 10 minutes. I would have run to Detroit. That’s how much love I have for this organization.”

Sullivan spent the 2003-04 and 2004-05 seasons in Detroit as an assistant to Larry Brown, who shares Sullivan’s University of North Carolina roots. When Brown left the Pistons to go to the Knicks, Sullivan landed in his native New Jersey and spent the last three seasons with the Nets.

Sullivan played under the legendary Dean Smith at North Carolina and during his five years in Chapel Hill, including a redshirt season, the Tar Heels went to three Final Fours, including 1993 when Carolina beat Michigan – the infamous Chris Webber timeout game. As an assistant at Carolina, Sullivan went to three more Final Fours before leaving after a regime change to spend three seasons at North Carolina-Wilmington prior to sticking his toe in NBA waters with the Pistons.

What struck him about the atmosphere in Detroit, unlike anything else he’s experienced outside of Chapel Hill, is that the Pistons’ close-knit environment was “the closest thing to North Carolina basketball I’ve ever been around,” as he told Dumars.

“I was excited to come back here,” he said. “I know sometimes when you say ‘Detroit,’ people back East don’t understand. But I love being downtown. I have nothing but great things to say about the state, the city and the franchise. For me, it was a no-brainer to come back here.”

Sullivan barely knew Curry on a personal level before signing on for his second tour of duty with the Pistons. But Curry was aware of Sullivan from his two years spent with the NBA, especially his second season when Curry worked under Stu Jackson in NBA Operations and was based in New York.

“I wasn’t here in Detroit when Pat was here,” Curry told me last month, “but I knew people here spoke well of him and I saw him so much when I was New York going to games in Jersey.”

Curry watched Sullivan work with Nets reserves in the hours before tipoff, saw his diligence and teaching ability.

“Those were the things I was looking for when I put together a staff,” Curry said. “I wanted guys who had tremendous respect around the league and guys who were gym rats that were going to work really hard.”

In the nearly two months they’ve had together since Sullivan’s return, Sullivan is even more certain now that coming back was the right move.

“I had great respect for him as a player and what he did for the union,” Sullivan said, referencing Curry’s stint as president of the NBA players association. “I didn’t know him that well, but Joe talked to him about me from my past here. He’s very, very organized, he’s very disciplined, he’s very hard working. You can see the qualities he had as a player to make it into this league and be successful. It’s the same qualities I see in him as a head coach.

“He’s very diligent. He’s in there working. We’re always talking about things and he’s very receptive to ideas, which is a neat thing in a first-time head coach. He doesn’t have any insecurities. He doesn’t have a huge ego. If he thinks that’s the right way to do things, he’s going to do it and I have a lot of respect for him because of that.”

Check back over the next few days when I’ll give you Sullivan’s impressions of many of the young Pistons he worked with in the Las Vegas Summer League.


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Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Curry gets a positive vibe from Kwame Brown

Michael Curry is well aware of the rap on Kwame Brown. His work ethic as a young player wasn’t what it should have been and he didn’t accept responsibility for his fate. But when he sat down with Brown, the vibe and the reputation didn’t mesh.

“What I was hoping for with him and what I got is that he didn’t use anything as an excuse,” Curry said of the most significant off-season addition to the Pistons’ roster, the 6-foot-11, 270-pound veteran big man signed as a free agent. “He put it all upon himself. He didn’t use the way the coach used him or injuries or being young when he came in the league – none of that.

“He took responsibility for himself and, really, once he did that, for me it was easy. That’s one of the biggest things – to get athletes to hold themselves accountable. Whether he did that when he was 18 or 19 – I’m pretty sure I was mature at 18 or 19, but I wouldn’t have been ready to be thrown into a No. 1 pick or right into the NBA and handle that kind of responsibility. Whether he acknowledged responsibility at that time didn’t really matter to me. The fact that now he does is the only thing I want to judge him on.”

At 26, Brown still has another productive decade of basketball ahead of him, Curry feels, and with both Rasheed Wallace and Antonio McDyess turning 34 before next season tips off, Curry felt Brown represented too much protection and potential to pass on at what appears a relative bargain. Brown’s contract has been widely reported as a two-year deal worth $4 million annually with Brown having the right to terminate the contract after one season.

But if the marriage of Kwame Brown and the Pistons turns out as mutually beneficial as Curry envisions, it’s certainly possible theirs could be a long-term union.

“We look at our team going forward, our two best post players are up there in age, Rasheed and Dice,” Curry said. “We have a good group of young post players coming along with Jason Maxiell, Amir Johnson, Cheikh Samb and Trent Plaisted, but we didn’t have anybody with massive size. Looking for a young player like that, most of the time it’s very difficult to get. Kwame has had some ups and downs in his career, but I still look at Kwame as a young big guy who can play and do well in this league another 10 years or so.

“To have a chance to get Kwame is great. Now it’s on me and the rest of my staff to continue to work him and push him and use him to the best of his abilities.”

Curry has said consistently since succeeding Flip Saunders that he considers both Jason Maxiell and Amir Johnson members of his rotation, but he doesn’t think the addition of Brown will greatly affect their roles.

“We’re playing Phoenix and we go to the bench, you can’t give Max or Amir a steady diet of Shaquille,” he said. “I think when you talk about some of the elite big guys in our league, Max can come off the bench or start and play them for a while. But he can’t play them over the long haul. It wears on his body. The couple of games he started on Dwight Howard (in the 2008 playoff series vs. Orlando), he was really good – and then for a couple of games, he didn’t have the same lift and explosion. It’s hard to play a guy like that and give up that much size.

“I think (adding Brown) causes competitive balance and that’s what you want. When you have that balance and that competition among positions, then you should never have to worry about playing a guy that doesn’t have it that night or if a guy is fatigued. You know you’ve got some other guys you can go to and that’s what we want, whether it’s in the post or on the perimeter.”

Curry said he watched a great amount of tape of Brown’s play from the past season before coming to the decision that he would be a considerable asset and was struck by how effective Brown was when he was healthy.

“I looked at all his statistics and compared them during times when he was healthy and when he was injured,” Curry said. “I watched a lot of tape on him. So I had drawn a pretty good conclusion that when he’s healthy and he plays, he’s a pretty good player.”

  • The Pistons officially announced the signing of Walter Herrmann on Monday, as had been widely reported after Herrmann more or less announced the deal himself a few weeks ago. They liked what they saw from Herrmann last season after acquiring him in the December trade with Charlotte that was primarily motivated by the salary-cap flexibility gained by getting Nazr Mohammed’s contract off the books, but the Pistons were reluctant to start yo-yoing Jarvis Hayes in the hopes that he would continue to grow into the role of a consistent bench scorer.

    With the decision to not pursue Hayes once he hit free agency, Herrmann now has a legitimate chance to emerge as the backup small forward to Tayshaun Prince. Though Rip Hamilton will probably get minutes there to accommodate Rodney Stuckey’s increased role and Arron Afflalo is another solid option, Herrmann’s greater size could make him the first option in matchups against bigger small forwards.

    Herrmann’s signing brings the number of guaranteed contracts to 14, one under the league maximum. The Pistons are still waiting on word from Lindsey Hunter about returning for one more season.

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Monday, August 11, 2008

Yao the tip of Chinese basketball revolution

Five quick thoughts on a Monday:

1. China’s population is 1.3 billion – 1 billion more than the United States. You could take the United States’ population, multiply it by four and China would still have 100 million more people than America.

As a kid, I remember being told that if on the day you were born they started a single-file parade of every person in China in front of you, you would be dead before that parade ever played out. Not sure if that’s really true or not, but I think China’s population has almost doubled over that time – so we’re talking about a really looong parade now.

What else has changed about China is its affection for basketball. They’re saying it’s now the most popular sport in the country. I would have expected Yao Ming’s precedent and success to have already spawned a wave of Chinese players good enough to crack the NBA, but so far that wave consists of Yi Jianlian, who isn’t exactly a tsunami.

But maybe it’s going to take a generation to reach fruition. At any rate, would anyone be surprised if every team in the NBA didn’t have a Chinese player in another 15 years or so?

Hey, if a dot on the map like the Dominican Republic can supply seemingly half of Major League Baseball’s middle infielders, anything is possible where China is concerned.

2. David Stern didn’t have a vote, but he had to be privately thrilled that the 2008 Olympics wound up in Beijing.

Sunday’s Team USA-China Olympic game was viewed by approximately 1 billion people. Even if you write off 500 million of them as Chinese citizens more taken by the notion of playing the famous Americans on such an enormous stage than being actually captivated by basketball, that’s still an enormous audience of potential converts – and consumers.

I’m not sure where the NBA is going to fit in the global basketball revolution, but Stern’s aggressiveness in selling the NBA to the world – in Asia alone, Stern has located NBA offices in Beijing, Shanghai, Tokyo, Taipai and Hong Kong – is going to have the league positioned to take every advantage of whatever leverage is available to it as possibilities for expansion and joint ventures are created.

3. Tayshaun Prince visited the Great Wall on his day off Monday. That fits. Joe Dumars surprised me a few years ago when he said Prince was the one guy on the roster that he could see taking on a job like his someday, but I’ve come to know what he means.

He’s an observer, and a studious one. Prince ranks right behind Chauncey Billups on the Pistons as the guy you go to as a reporter for his views on the team because he’s honest and thoughtful. I really don’t think he likes the role of team spokesman, but he’s smart enough to accept it as coming with the territory and treats it for the responsibility it is.

I think this summer’s Olympic experience is going to be good for him, too. Because Prince soaks up knowledge and experiences like a sponge, all the players and psyches and situations he’s exposed to will benefit him – and the Pistons – in the long run.

4. It took the Atlanta Hawks about five minutes to match the offer sheet Memphis and Josh Smith signed the other day, which makes you wonder about both Atlanta and Memphis’ intentions.

Was Atlanta merely waiting for another team to set the market? Would the Hawks have reacted so quickly if they hadn’t been caught flat-footed by and suffered the public-relations backlash from Josh Childress’ signing with his Greek team? Did Memphis present Smith with an unremarkable contract offer – especially in light of what Chicago’s Luol Deng and Charlotte’s Emeka Okafor got – knowing it would be matched just so its disenchanted fans would be impressed by their seeming aggression?

Assuming the Hawks are intent on hanging on to Smith now – and trading a just-signed player can’t happen until at least Dec. 15 and, in any case, becomes practically impossible for a full year due to their base-year contract status that limits how much teams can take back in salary – it’s going to be interesting to see how that team progresses. Was pushing Boston to seven games in the opening round an aberration or the first step of a franchise intent on competing for championships? Smith, Al Horford and Marvin Williams give Atlanta a frontline of tantalizing potential.

5. Interesting comments from Michigan native Chris Kaman – who gives Germany an outside shot at medal contention – regarding his newest Clippers teammate, Marcus Camby, and what it says about Denver’s organization for essentially giving him away to avoid another year of heavy luxury taxation.

And if Kaman is thinking that, you have to believe the players Camby leaves behind in Denver are really thinking that. If the Nuggets stumble badly to start the season, Carmelo Anthony’s demeanor will bear watching. A disaffected star who wants out can make life fairly unbearable for the franchise that cuts his paychecks. The Nuggets shouldn’t need many reminders – that’s how they wound up with Allen Iverson.


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Friday, August 8, 2008

Gap to narrow as East weaklings bulk up

The gap between the NBA’s Eastern and Western conferences will narrow this season. It might not close completely, but the great East-West divide will be a footnote to the 2008-09 season.

It closed a little last year, despite what the numbers say. Yeah, the West was a whopping 66 games over .500 with a 258-192 record in interconference games last season for a .573 winning percentage. That’s a considerable edge over 450 games.

But the Knicks alone accounted for 24 of the West’s 66-game advantage, going a disgraceful 3-27. Miami, which gave up on the season before the holidays, added another 16 games to the West’s cushion, posting a 7-23 record. Milwaukee, New Jersey and Chicago combined to give the West another 40-game advantage. Those five alone were 80 games under .500 against the West, averaging a 7-23 record in interconference games, a pathetic .233 winning percentage.

All of those teams are going to be better next season. In fact, you can make the case that all but two non-playoff East teams will be better to some degree next season.

Of the East’s 15 teams, nine have made significant change. Four of the six that didn’t were the top four seeds – Boston, Detroit, Orlando and Cleveland. And those four could play with the cream of the West. Combined, the Celtics, Pistons, Magic and Cavs were 36 games over .500 against the West last season.

The Celtics lost James Posey, which hurts, but Boston’s young players like Rajon Rondo, Kendrick Perkins, Glen Davis and Leon Powe have plenty of room for growth, and the Celtics got more athletic via the draft with J.R. Giddens and Bill Walker.

The Pistons, similarly, figure to get much more this season than last out of young players like Rodney Stuckey, Arron Afflalo and Amir Johnson, and their frontcourt got deeper with the free-agent signing of Kwame Brown. Brown’s signing has been viewed critically for a simple reason: He’s not come close to playing the way the No. 1 pick in the draft is expected to play. But for a 15-minute situational big man capable of filling in as a starter if needed, Brown gives the Pistons rare insurance.

Cleveland remains a flawed team, but one uniquely built for playoff success, as it proved by pushing Boston to seven grueling games in the second round. And with more time to absorb the radical changes Danny Ferry implemented with his major trade-deadline deal that brought on four rotation pieces, it’s fair to assume the Cavs will be a better regular-season team this year than last.

Orlando has some of the same issues it had last year – a mediocre backcourt and marginal depth. But the Magic have lots of firepower up front and should benefit from the return of defensive-oriented power forward Tony Battie.

So those four go off as credible threats to challenge for an NBA Finals berth. But two other teams took off-season steps to suggest they belong, as well – Philadelphia and Toronto.

Philly made the most dramatic move of the off-season, plucking Elton Brand in free agency, by all appearances the perfect fit. Stick Brand on the block and suddenly Samuel Dalembert’s deficiencies aren’t so glaring; Reggie Evans’ role gets scaled back to something more in keeping with his strengths; Thaddeus Young moves to his more natural small forward – and he might challenge Stuckey as the one player from the 2007 draft who should have gone much, much higher; Andre Igoudala becomes a matchup nightmare for shooting guards; and Willie Green becomes a bench scoring luxury.

The 76ers suffered a tough blow this week when second-year big man Jason Smith tore his ACL, but that opens the door for talented No. 1 pick Marreese Speights to get playing time during the season – and Smith, given the miracles of modern healing, should be back in time to help down the stretch and into the postseason.

Toronto’s addition of Jermaine O’Neal for T.J. Ford could have equal impact north of the border. All reports this summer indicate O’Neal’s balky knee is holding up just fine. The hopelessness that’s hovered over Indiana the last few years weighed heavily on O’Neal. Getting him back in a healthy environment with a contender gives O’Neal a chance to restore his reputation – and, let’s not forget, he was one of the top handful of big men in the game just a few seasons ago and is still only 30.

Among the non-playoff teams, only New York and New Jersey would have a tough time selling their fans that the postseason is a realistic goal for the season ahead.

There’s no reason Chicago went from 49 wins to 33 without significant injury or personnel loss. There’s still a lot of talent on that roster, including three recent lottery picks – Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah and Tyrus Thomas – with tantalizing potential. Getting Luol Deng’s contract resolved will help – and, whatever way it turns out, so will figuring out what to do with Ben Gordon.

Dwyane Wade’s pre-Olympic exploits have dispelled all fears that his 2007 knee surgery had permanently robbed him of his trademark explosiveness. Add Michael Beasley and Shawn Marion to the mix and Miami should be right back in the playoff hunt.

Charlotte gets Sean May and Adam Morrison back after missing all of last season, but the Bobcats’ biggest addition is Larry Brown – no doubt eager to coach himself back to a place where he inspired awe in his peers. It’s a situation made for Brown – a small media market and a team of largely overlooked players.

T.J. Ford is the right point guard for Jim O’Brien’s offense in Indiana, which also added Jarrett Jack at that position, but the best news for the Pacers is that they’re another year and a few more bad apples removed from the stain of recent seasons.

Milwaukee plugs in Richard Jefferson at its one glaring gap in the lineup at small forward on a team that figures to respond, at least in the short term, to the tough love Scott Skiles will bring. The Bucks are going to win significantly more than 26 games next season.

New York will be better just because … the Knicks can’t be worse. Donnie Walsh and Mike D’Antoni bring sanity to an atmosphere that gave circuses a bad name. If D’Antoni can figure out how to make Zach Randolph and Eddy Curry work better than Isiah Thomas did, they have a chance to approach respectability.

Across the Hudson, it’s tough to argue that a Nets team without Jason Kidd and Richard Jefferson will be better, but the staleness that had settled in with this team has been shaken away. Devin Harris gives New Jersey a potentially dynamic young point guard and the Nets had a nice draft. They’ll miss Jefferson, but getting rid of his contract gives New Jersey the payroll flexibility to retool quickly.

That leaves Washington and Atlanta, playoff teams that didn’t add much to the mix over the summer. But the Wizards won 43 games without Gilbert Arenas and Atlanta – even conceding the loss of Josh Childress – could take another step forward as young players like Al Horford, Marvin Williams and Acie Law mature.

So the top of the East has expanded from four to six and the bottom has shrunk by an even greater degree. The East was already as strong at the very top as the West – Boston’s dismantling of the Lakers after tough series at every step while escaping the East proved that much. The gap through the middle and at the bottom is where the West had its advantages. Those have narrowed, or perhaps closed completely, and so will the win differential in the season ahead.


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Wednesday, August 6, 2008

2008-09 schedule sets up favorably for Pistons

I don’t get too swept up in analyzing the NBA schedule on the belief that over 82 games of a mostly balanced scheduling format, the variance just isn’t going to be significant enough to matter a whole lot. It's not like Big Ten football, where Wisconsin goes to the Rose Bowl by virtue of dodging Michigan and Ohio State in the same fortuitous season.

That disclaimer out of the way, Michael Curry has to be pretty pleased with the way the 2008-09 schedule – just released by the NBA this afternoon – shapes up.

The most noticeable thing, perhaps, is the reduction in back-to-back sets, which was at 22 two seasons ago and 20 last year. This year it’s at 16. Now, the Pistons have had a pretty amazing record in back-to-backs the past few years, and the fact Curry has given strong indications that he’ll make even greater use of what shapes up as a very deep bench should further mitigate the effects of playing on consecutive nights.

But the difference between playing 22 and 16 back-to-back sets could be significant. With 22 back-to-backs, that’s 44 games – or 53 percent of a team’s schedule. Sixteen back-to-backs encompasses 32 games – 39 percent of a team’s schedule. The back end of playing on consecutive nights is presumed to be the more problematic, and statistically proves out, but the effects of having a game the next night can also dictate the way a coach uses his players on the front end, too.

Not as noticeable, perhaps, but maybe just as significant about the upcoming schedule is the number of games the Pistons will play on one night’s rest. Last season they had 43 such games. Next season they’ll have 47.

NBA players are creatures of habit and nothing seems to agree with them more than playing one night, having a light practice the next day, then having another game the next night. A healthy 57 percent of the Pistons’ games in the coming season will embrace exactly those elements.

Not as many back-to-backs, but also not as many unnaturally long breaks that often seemed to throw the Pistons out of rhythm in the past few seasons. The Pistons have three days off between games only once this season; last season they had four such breaks – and the results weren’t pretty. They were 1-3 in those games and it would be hard to find another four-game grouping out of the 82 that went worse.

The first three-day break came after the Pistons’ 3-0 start when they went to Chicago to face the struggling, 0-4 Bulls. Rasheed Wallace scored a season-best 36 points and the Pistons still lost after spotting the Bulls 29 points in the first quarter. The second such game came in Dallas on Jan. 9. The Pistons gave up 32 first-quarter points and went down by 22 before losing by 16 in a game that left Flip Saunders visibly frustrated.

The Pistons won the next time they were coming off a three-day break, but it wasn’t pretty. They again came out sluggishly, ceding another 32 first-quarter points to a 19-26 Indiana team, before winning in the final minute behind significant contributions from their bench. And the final game played off of a three-day break came on Easter Sunday at Washington when the Pistons gave up 28 points in the first quarter – spot a trend here? – and lost by a dozen to the Gilbert Arena-less Wizards.

Even their West Coast swings next season don’t appear staggering. They have two four-gamers, the first scheduled over six days with one back-to-back, the second over seven days with one back-to-back, each of them featuring two 2008 playoff teams and two non-playoff teams.

Their roughest road trip, to be sure, will be a five-gamer that starts in late February at Cleveland. The Pistons will play four 2008 playoff teams on that trek – the Cavs, New Orleans, Orlando and Boston – and the fifth opponent, Miami, will be vastly improved after adding No. 2 pick Michael Beasley and getting Dwyane Wade back at full health, if you can trust what we’re seeing from him so far in Olympic tuneups. But it’s at least favorably situated for them – it comes two games after the All-Star break, when they should have their legs under them and their focused sharpened as the home stretch beckons.

Even their April schedule appears to set up perfectly. The Pistons close the regular season with eight games that month and only one of them – an April 4 game at Philadelphia – is against a 2008 playoff team. They play the Nets, 76ers, Bobcats, Knicks, Nets again, Pacers, Bulls and Heat.

If the Pistons are scrambling for playoff position, that’s a pretty soft closing stretch to pad their record. If it’s another season like the last one, when the Pistons were unofficially locked in to the No. 2 seed for more than the final month, it will afford Curry all the time and latitude he needs for lineup experimentation and resting veterans.

And the minor imbalance the NBA schedule contains – each year, every team plays four of the 14 other teams inside of its conference three times and the other 10 teams four times – favors the Pistons. The four teams the Pistons play just three times – Philadelphia, Orlando, Toronto and Atlanta – were all playoff teams last season. That means they get four games each against every Eastern 2008 non-playoff team.


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Monday, August 4, 2008

Disappointment doesn't lead to desperation for Joe D

Kwame Brown officially became a Piston today. The signing of Walter Herrmann, which he first acknowledged last week, will push the Pistons’ roster to 14. If Lindsey Hunter decides to play one more season, that will take the Pistons to the maximum of 15.

That would mean the off-season so far would have consisted of adding Brown to fight for minutes along with Jason Maxiell and Amir Johnson; picking up Will Bynum as the No. 3 point guard; and drafting Walter Sharpe to contend with Herrmann for whatever is left after Tayshaun Prince, Rip Hamilton and Arron Afflalo carve up the minutes at small forward.

It’s a long way from the Carmelo Anthony or Tracy McGrady headline-grabbing move much rumored, so how should Pistons fans feel about their team’s relatively quiet summer?

A move of that magnitude would have made the Pistons one of the NBA’s most-watched teams heading into the new season, in the same way Boston became the most fascinating story of last summer after adding Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen – and the same way Denver became the talk of the previous season when the Nuggets seemingly stole Allen Iverson from Philadelphia.

The point is that adding a big name – at a commensurate cost – is the ultimate high-risk, high-reward move. Joe Dumars was stunningly frank in so publicly declaring his desire to shake up his team’s chemistry that June day when he also fired Flip Saunders, but it’s now clear that his secondary point – about not executing a trade just to justify his desire for change – was delivered with equal conviction. The Pistons are still enviably positioned. Dumars has done great work in amassing assets without mortgaging a fraction of his franchise’s future. Though it’s disappointing to come up just short June after June, disappointment can’t be allowed to foster desperation.

The Brown signing carries some subtle irony to it in that the home-run move Pistons fans crave is one like Brown made possible last February when he was the key piece sent to Memphis as the Lakers wound up with Pau Gasol. Why was Brown the key piece? Because his considerable contract – much larger than the one he just signed with the Pistons – was necessary to make the trade work under salary-cap rules.

In that respect, Dumars’ amazing run of shrewd business actually hurts the Pistons a little. To pull off the type of trade Dumars wanted to execute this summer, he really needed a contract like the one Kwame Brown just finished. Let’s take McGrady as an example. He’s due to make $21 million next year. The Pistons have to come pretty close to sending that much money to Houston in order for the trade to be in compliance. But because they don’t have anyone on the roster who’s overpaid, they’d have to trade $21 million worth of real value.

And I don’t care which combination of guys making that kind of money you want to group – Rasheed Wallace and Tayshaun Prince; Chauncey Billups, Antonio McDyess and Jason Maxiell; Rip Hamilton and Wallace – it would be a trade that would represent significant risk for the Pistons.

In other words, not at all like the two trades that went a long way toward determining the most recent NBA Finals matchup – Boston’s no-brainer deal for Garnett and the Los Angeles’ Lakers’ pilfering of Gasol.

The Pistons didn’t have a prayer of getting either player because they didn’t have two of the three things rebuilding teams in Minnesota and Memphis coveted – young talent, high draft picks and large contracts about to expire. Minnesota got a lottery pick and Al Jefferson from Boston. Memphis got, essentially, three first-round picks and Brown’s contract coming off the books. All the Pistons could have offered without cutting into the bone would be draft picks, and late first-rounders, at that – not enough to even start a discussion.

So that’s where they’re at. A trade is still possible, of course. Once again, I’ll remind all that the Rip Hamilton-Jerry Stackhouse deal came after Labor Day. There are still GMs out there who are dissatisfied with their roster after the draft and free agency have come and gone. The right fit might still be out there for the Pistons.

But if the worst-case scenario is coming back with the roster as it stands now, I think the ace in the hole for Dumars is Michael Curry. It might be putting a lot on a rookie coach to expect that his presence will light the fire – what he called a “burning desire” to win – that Dumars didn’t see last season, but Curry has the rare fill-up-the-room presence that makes you believe he’ll do just that.

Now, if somebody wants to call Joe D and offer him a superstar for a bag of potato chips …


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